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"International Herald Tribune" freelance writer from Beijing Ren Jingguo prototype of South Korea 2 +2 profile, are now beginning.

New Year, handsome Kitazawa Japan's defense minister to visit Seoul on 10 July, with South Korean Defense Minister Kim W Town to sign the Self-Defense Forces of Japan and South Korea military exchanges and cooperation agreements were consulted. Japanese Foreign Minister Maehara will also visit South Korea on 14 June the first visit after taking office.

Kitazawa and have been visited Korea before the original, shoulders the important mission - Japan and South Korea South Korean President Lee Myung-bak government is to visit Japan to coordinate the first half of this year, when Prime Minister Naoto Kan will be signed by President Lee Myung-bak and issued a new joint declaration. The declaration is to expand the focus of Japan and South Korea in the field of military security cooperation, further promote the Japan-US, South Korea based on the two allies Japan and South Korea alliance.

Kyodo News Agency on January 3 in Seoul Power reported that Japanese Foreign Minister Maehara In an interview with South Korea, "Daily News" interview, said that trying to take advantage of the machine visit to South Korea, "North Korean issue to the 'strong signal ', "adding that the Japanese government" I hope Japan and Korea in the security field can build alliances. "

probably want to end the alliance between Japan and South Korea is a tool of large and sensitive, the Japanese Foreign Ministry in the evening issued a statement denying said in an interview before the original case, said he absolutely did not comes to Japan and South Korea security alliance, "but said one of the concerns this year is how Japan and Korea in the security field to create an atmosphere for serious dialogue."

Although the Government of Japan and South Korea want to form a "alliance" denied, but Japanese media reported that the wind did not change this rendering, but subtly the "alliance" is quietly changed to "Union" only. However, Nagata-cho (Japan Prime Minister's Office is located) is sufficient action to policy-makers clearly show that the Japanese want to pull South Korea alliance not groundless.

剑指 China Japan South Korea pull

handsome Kitazawa visited Korea and South Korea discuss two agreements, one on the Japanese Self-Defense Force and South Korean troops provide each other with military goods and services "providing material services agreement with each other" and the second is about the two sides in the field of military security and defense intelligence exchange and confidentiality of the "Military Intelligence Protection Agreement." Japan and Korea two new agreement is the first half of this year the Government is prepared to sign the joint declaration issued by the new security cooperation in the specific content. Japanese media reports, "The reason for publication aimed at strengthening security cooperation between the two countries a new joint declaration of a desire to strengthen the Japan-US joint ROK repeated provocation to check North Korea and in the East China Sea, South China Sea, China's increased military influence . "

warm relations between Japan and South Korea can be seen, especially in Japan," while Daoting Korea "behind a plot to Japan and South Korea alliance, formed in Northeast Asia, Korean and Japan-US military alliance, and want to make this military alliance the ultimate goal of the strategic balance point to China.

and warm behind Japan and South Korea, Japan, showing a very pro-active side, in particular the effort to conquer South Korea's "psychological barrier."

1904, Japan annexed the Korean peninsula, and since then carried out on the peninsula 40 years of "colonial rule." Despite the divided peninsula after the war, but in Japan this "cruel and tyrannical history of colonial rule" in terms of the two Koreas did not become a "past." Japan and South Korea's exchanges, often due to history, territorial disputes and other issues and strained.

However, in 2010 around a series of inter-Korean events between Japan and China, Japan and South Korea to become more and more led to "close" as an excuse, South Korea, Japan and soft bow down to Japan to South Korea, Tokyo and Seoul, diplomatic, military exchanges frequent interaction.

the Tokyo policy-makers to visit Seoul to the North Korean issue is not only a "strong signal." In an interview with South Korea before the original "Daily Economic News" interview that North Korea's military provocations on the Korean peninsula is not only but to the entire East Asia "and a threat to stability and peace," the North Korean military provocations in the future is still possible that China's rapid rise is also the international situation has changed dramatically this year, the biggest issue of Japan's diplomacy is "to establish effective security mechanism with neighboring countries."

addition to Pyongyang, Tokyo to the decision-makers about East Asia, including Beijing and the world geopolitical state issued a "strong signal."

making enemies fill the emptiness

locked in Northeast Asia, Japan, South Korea for its coalition partners owned the underlying motivation. If the theory of its subtleties, and probably from the Western "divide and rule" strategy to proceed. Before 1945, Bank of Japan handed to seek "independence of Manchuria and Mongolia", "North of autonomy", "support the Wang Government" when the once familiar use of "divide and rule." Today, Japan's hawkish policy makers attempt to further this strategy on the Korean Peninsula, both divided Koreas, China and South Korea can be divided, then divided Sino-US relations, four birds with one stone, fell into the water while the United States and ROK.

Tokyo seemed particularly willing to form an alliance, so from a historical point of view, from the Japanese socio-cultural Perspective same. Japanese seem to upset all the time have a strong sense of crisis, not Baotuan, not within, the Non-Aligned not survive. See things in the world is not confined to the original point, introverted, Bao Tuan, alliance also has its positive evaluation can be positive and significant, unfortunately, is Japan's Bao Tuan, an alliance of consciousness is the root of a negative sense of crisis, it never contains hostile nature. Swiss psychoanalyst Arno Glen raised: anxiety, xenophobia never reveal the "inner emptiness." "Los Angeles Times" has published an article scholar Gregory Rodriguez pointed out: to fill this emptiness, need "to create an enemy, the crisis or even war can bring a sense of cohesion and stability."

addition to these deep-seated reasons, or from the inside and outside Japan have seen how the structural contradictions. The current domestic political situation volatile, political parties lose the trust of the people, economy stagnated, public sentiment restless. Foreign Affairs, the Japan-US alliance not avoid relocation of the Futenma Air Station, the U.S. military commitment to issues such as cost of discord caused by distress. Meanwhile, Japan and Korea are not ending the war hostilities, the territorial dispute with Russia deteriorate, creating a negative relationship with China back. From a geopolitical point of view, Japan look to neighbors, even the "enemy majority", "homogeneous" Han optional allies but no other way.

Japanese Korean media satire "unrequited love"

fact, all of Japan and South Korea's military defense cooperation will be developed substantially to what extent, Western Japan Ruofu trying to use "divide and rule" Oriental art of governing, delay the process of China's rise, and ultimately just a daydream dream.

Seoul may be seen through a number of elite decision-making problems. To last year, Yonhap reported on December 6 as an example: the day, at the US-ROK Foreign Ministers met in Washington three, but South Korean Foreign Minister spokesman Jin Yingshan but warned that "millions of Mo to the tripartite talks between China and Russia as distant the move. " The same month 15, the South Korean Foreign Minister Jinxing Huan spoke emphasized the relationship between Korea and China will not only go beyond the "common ground", but also to further "seeking assimilation differences." He said: "South Korea and China need a strategic partnership based on regular exchange of views and close co-operation mechanisms; and to such cooperation as the cornerstone of strategic understanding between the two countries play an active role to share and safeguard peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula constructive role. "

South Korea," Asian Daily "and other media have reported nearly a week since the more the government and opposition leaders of the plot are worried about the Japanese and Korean hard-liners in the military alliance and security cooperation if the" excesses "will be "provoke China," ridiculed at South Korea alliance is the same like "unrequited love."

divide and conquer, fear balanced, zero-sum game, either on military and foreign policy-makers probably will not turn a blind eye to these core vocabulary. I believe the first Jorda into Tokyo and to some extent, some areas of the military security cooperation is not impossible. But in view of the historical complex and the complex geopolitical factors, Japan and South Korea's alliance strategy is a highly sensitive, easy to hit the rocks, I am afraid "to seek easier said than done."

Expert Perspective: Japan and South Korea's military dotted line is designated real

】 【Liu Jiangyong of the (East Asian Institute of International Studies, Tsinghua University Research Office)

Korea less likely to create a similar kind of US-Japan alliance, but may loose coalition towards the development of

"International Herald Tribune" article

there are two current trends in Northeast Asia, peace, multilateralism and violence multilateralism. The former through peaceful dialogue, negotiation and consultation to maintain the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia peace. This is the general direction of the mainstream and in the future. But sometimes by the upstream tributaries of the interference. The upstream and the tributaries that? Multilateralism is the violence, it is at war, the practice of military groups, to unilateralism can not achieve. Its important manifestations is to strengthen the so-called multilateral military group, military alliances, through military deterrence to solve international conflicts and differences, to achieve specific interests and goals.

now the U.S. and Japan, the US-ROK alliance is the legacy of the Cold War. Although the Cold War has ended, in strengthening regional cooperation in South Korea, but the violence did not decline trend of multilateralism, disappeared, but has been enhanced.

triangular relationship in Japan, South Korea, Japan and the United States, the ROK-US alliance is like two bilateral two solid lines, a dotted line between Japan and South Korea, not a formal alliance. But now, Japan and South Korea should draw solid dotted line, the thick solid line program. But the plan can not be a real thick line. Because Japan has "three principles of arms", also subject to domestic peace constitution. There are historical problems between Japan and South Korea, territorial disputes, Korea has a strong national sentiment against Japan. Although Japan and South Korea is unlikely to create similar U.S. and Japan, South Korea as an ally, but there may be towards the loose alliance forms, such as Japan and Australia held on 2 +2 that defense and foreign ministers institutional direction.

to the current situation, the decision-making process in the United States, Japan, they are to violence as a basis of multilateralism, multilateralism of peace as a tool, practical is their purpose.

how the future development of the situation in Northeast Asia? What pattern of evolution? United States, Japan Triangle institutional change? If the violence of multilateralism to prevail, may not be held six-party talks, the situation will be further strained. If it is peace of multilateralism to prevail, (of course we can not expect violence to multilateralism disappear), it is possible to restart six-party talks, regional peace and stability will be maintained.

China, Japan and South Korea in the emerging alliance how to deal with the new Council? First, we must adhere to peaceful multilateralism, strengthening the Korean Peninsula with the friendly and cooperative relations between the two sides to further promote the inter-Korean talks and to persuade. Second, within the framework of six-party talks to maintain communication and coordination with the United States, not to intensify the contradictions, have a strategic misjudgment. Third, we need to strengthen relations with Russia, because Russia is peace in Northeast Asia, one of the major forces of multilateralism. Russia and China, recent international consensus in this regard, more and more active role. Finally, we need to strengthen strategic and mutually beneficial relations between China and Japan, two countries have disputes over the Diaoyu Islands, private feelings urgent restoration. In particular, we need to find some of the highlights of cooperation and common interests, safeguard peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula in line with the common interests of China and Japan. Peace is like air, feel the presence of its value. Once lost, it felt no peace is not enough. (Reporter Guo Yina interview / order)